Powell, E. N. Rutgers University, eric@hsrl.rutgers.edu
Ford, S. N. Rutgers University, susan@hsrl.rutgers.edu
Hofmann, E. E. Old Dominion University, hofmann@ccpo.odu.edu
Klinck, J. M. Old Dominion University, klinck@ccpo.odu.edu

 
MODELING THE EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON OYSTER DISEASE
 
Models that simulate the interactions of Eastern oysters and the pathogens, Haplosporidium nelsoni, which causes the disease MSX, and Perkinsus marinus, which causes the disease Dermo, have been developed. Both diseases have been epizootic in Chesapeake and Delaware Bays during the 1990s. Simulations that use environmental time series that are characteristic of warm and cool conditions illustrate the advantage given both parasites by warm conditions and demonstrate the importance of a sequence of warm and dry years in triggering wide spread epizootic conditions of the two diseases. Results from these simulations can be used to understand the causes underlying the northward spread of these two oyster diseases along the east coast of the United States in the decade of the 1990s. This has implications for management of this commerical species.
 
Day: Thursday, Feb. 4
Time: 09:00 - 09:15am
Location: Sweeney Center
 
Code: SS10TH0900S